U.S. Presidential Election: The Path to 270 Electoral Votes

A new report from the Centre for American Progress, a progressive organization in the United States, outlines the demographic and opinion-related evidence that suggests the path to winning the White House has shifted somewhat since 2008.

The report concludes that the demographic shifts in key states favours Obama: mainly the growth of non-white, college educated, and Millennial voters.  However, economic perceptions and realities are hurting Obama and helping whoever gets nominated as the Republican candidate.  So the election will ultimately be about balancing these two realities.  If the key voter segments that would support Obama stay home like they did in the 2010 mid-term elections because of economic frustration , the Republicans win.

An interesting read for the data nerds out there like me.

Obama job approval and unemployment by state