Federal Liberals lead by 27 in Newfoundland and Labrador

According to a new VOCM-Abacus Data random telephone survey of 600 eligible voters in Newfoundland and Labrador conducted from July 28 to August 1, the federal Liberal Party holds a large, 27-point lead over the federal Conservative Party. The federal Liberals have 54% support among committed...

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom?

On September 18, Scots head to the polls to decide whether they want Scotland to become an independent country.  Polling suggests that the NO side is leading, but there are enough undecided voters that the outcome is still too close to call at this point. On Tuesday, the leaders of the two...

Paul Davis favourite for PC Leadership; 53% of NL has positive impression of NL Leader Dwight Ball

According to a new VOCM-Abacus Data random telephone survey of 600 eligible voters in Newfoundland and Labrador conducted from July 28 to August 1, PC leadership candidate former Health Minister Paul Davis has the most positive personal rating of the three candidates running to become the...

NL Liberals lead PCs by 14

According to a new VOCM-Abacus Data random telephone survey of 600 eligible voters in Newfoundland and Labrador conducted from July 28 to August 1, the NL Liberals continue to hold a large lead over the PC Party. The Liberals lead the Tories by 14-points with support for the Liberals at 48%...

Research Note: Did Undecided Voters Give the Liberals Their Majority?

For many, the Ontario majority Liberal win on June 12 was a surprise.  Our own polling showed the Liberals ahead among eligible voters for most of the campaign, but tied with the PCs among likely voters in our final release.  As Eric Grenier at threehundredeight.com has shown, the eligible...

Federal Politics: Liberals lead Tories by 3

A new national survey (June 25 to July 3, 2014) shows the federal Liberal Party with a 3-point lead among committed voters, at 34% followed by the Conservatives at 31% and the NDP at 23%.  Among all eligible voters 28% said they would vote Liberal, 25% Conservative, 19% NDP and 19% are...

Hill Times: Ontario polls show how it should be done

The polls were not exactly the miss they have been made out to be. What’s more, some polls provided good examples of how to do it right. By ÉRIC GRENIER Published: Monday, 06/30/2014 12:00 am EDT The Hill Times...

Canada’s Best and Worst Provinces: 2014 edition

Alberta still reigns: viewed as best managed, lowest income taxes, and best place to open a new business Today Abacus celebrates our 3rd annual Best and Worst Provinces Survey release. Just as we did in 2013 and 2012, Abacus has measured Canadian perceptions  on a number of metrics. As we...

Battleground Ontario: Watch for regional swings tonight.

Today’s election is too close to call.  Our last poll had the Tories and Liberals tied at 36% among likely voters.  The seat projectors predict that unless the Tories can win much more of the popular vote, the Liberals should win a minority.  Why?  Because of how regionalized the...

Too Close to Call: Liberals and Tories Tied at 36% Among Likely Voters; NDP at 23%

As voters head to the polls on Thursday, the election is too close to call.  While the Liberals lead by three points among eligible voters, the Tories and Liberals are tied among likely voters, with 36% each.  The NDP’s gains in our last survey have been sustained although they continue to do...

Nearly 60% of Pickering/Ajax Residents Opposed to a New or Expanded Casino Built within 5km of Their Home

A new random telephone survey of 500 residents of Pickering and Ajax finds the percentage of respondents strongly opposed to a casino in Pickering is far greater than the number who strongly support a casino (32% strongly oppose vs. 14% strongly support). Overall,  one in two residents (50%)...

50% of Voters Aren’t Satisfied with Any of the Choices

One of the more interesting things in this election has been the low level of interest in the campaign itself.  We have been tracking how much voters have been following news of the election and how much thought they have given to it.  Interest has barely increased since the start of the...

Liberals lead Tories by 3 as NDP gains.

As we head into the final week of the 2014 Ontario election campaign, the race is too close to call.  Since last week, support for the Liberals is down three points while NDP support is up four.  The Liberals continue to do well in Toronto and in the communities surrounding Toronto but their...

Hudak dominates Google Trends since May

The chart below tracks interest in the three main party leaders according to Google Trends. Since the budget was announced in early May, Hudak has generated more interest than the other two leaders. There is a noticeable spike from June 2 to 4 in the lead up and aftermath of the...